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Best Practice Policies for Low Carbon & Energy Buildings Based on Scenario Analysis

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The Best Practice Policies for Low Carbon & Energy Buildings Based on Scenario Analysis report addresses the issue of global potential for energy-related greenhouse gas (GHG) emission mitigation in buildings by 2020, 2030 and 2050. The report offers new analysis that provides a strong foundation for policy making to build upon, delivering insights on how savings potential can be best captured.


The analysis focuses on China, the EU, India and the USA – regions that were responsible for 60% of buildings energy use in 2005, and where much of the future global growth will occur.


Using a purpose-built model, three scenarios have been developed:

  • the deep efficiency scenario
  • the frozen efficiency scenario
  • the moderate efficiency scenario



The report presents a detailed discussion of the model and the input data, which makes a solid foundation for future analysis. The results vary considerably, because all four regions are at different stages of policy development in the sector, and socio-economic factors are significantly different.


The scenario analysis shows what a long-term ambitious energy performance in buildings policy can achieve in all regions. There are many obstacles and constraints, but the analysis indicates that it is feasible. It is expected that this type of analysis, together with the analytical tools presented here, will improve the policy making process.


The report was prepared by the Center for Climate Change and Sustainable Policy (3CSEP) for the Global Buildings Performance Network (GBPN).


For further information or for downloading the report, please visit the GBPN website.